The jaggedness point is the most underrated takeaway here. I build with agents daily and the gap between "solves a distributed systems problem" and "fails at obvious file naming" is real and constant. The people who get burned are the ones who trust the PhD-level output and stop checking. You have to keep catching the 10-year-old moments or they compound into hours of debugging. I'd disagree slightly with the Jevons paradox framing though. More software gets built, sure. But a lot of that new software will be disposable, single-use stuff that nobody maintains. The demand for people who direct volume only holds if the software being built actually needs directing.
i agree. sometimes it seems like the llms are amazing super intelligences. then you encounter an example of their jaggedness and you realize how much farther we have to go still.
Point 8 is the one most teams haven't fully processed. If docs are for agents now, "good documentation" stops meaning readable and starts meaning precise. Structure and specificity over narrative.
love the point on coding not being the right word. at a certain point, it does feel like a new verb is needed lol. i like manifest hah!
The jaggedness point is the most underrated takeaway here. I build with agents daily and the gap between "solves a distributed systems problem" and "fails at obvious file naming" is real and constant. The people who get burned are the ones who trust the PhD-level output and stop checking. You have to keep catching the 10-year-old moments or they compound into hours of debugging. I'd disagree slightly with the Jevons paradox framing though. More software gets built, sure. But a lot of that new software will be disposable, single-use stuff that nobody maintains. The demand for people who direct volume only holds if the software being built actually needs directing.
i agree. sometimes it seems like the llms are amazing super intelligences. then you encounter an example of their jaggedness and you realize how much farther we have to go still.
Point 8 is the one most teams haven't fully processed. If docs are for agents now, "good documentation" stops meaning readable and starts meaning precise. Structure and specificity over narrative.
Fyi I think he meant December 2025 rather than 2024